Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.