Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 1Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brugge 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Casa Pia
Monday, February 13 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 13 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Benfica 2-0 Boavista
While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they face a rampant Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. As Aguias have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are tipping them to extend their dominance over the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
80.83% ( 0.31) | 12.65% ( -0.19) | 6.52% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
