We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Boavista
Off the back of their League Cup exits, Estoril Praia and Boavista will head into the midweek match in search of a morale-boosting result. Petit's side have enjoyed the better of this fixture, but we predict that the spoils will be shared between the two evenly-matched sides on Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.