With three points and three places between the sides in the league standings, we expect a close contest on Sunday. Both sides are in similar form and we predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.