Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Jan 17, 2021 at 3pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 1
Moreirense

Riascos (42'), Azouni (53'), Micael (76'), Pedrao (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vitoria (78')
Conte (19'), Pacheco (30'), Vitoria (63'), Ferraresi (90+2'), Soares (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Moreirense
40.24%	27.99%	31.76%

Both teams to score 47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28%

58.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74%

79.25%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44%

28.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65%

64.35%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04%

33.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37%

70.63%

Score Analysis

Nacional 40.24%

Moreirense 31.76%

Draw 27.99%

Nacional	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.24%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.76%