Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional0 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 21.31% | 24.79% | 53.9% |
| Both teams to score 48.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
