Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.93%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Nacional |
80.93% | 12.53% | 6.55% |
Both teams to score 46.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.5% | 32.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.84% | 54.17% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.87% | 6.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.74% | 23.27% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.69% | 50.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.13% | 84.88% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 12.03% 3-0 @ 11.19% 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 8.26% 4-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-1 @ 5.37% 5-0 @ 4.36% 5-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.64% 6-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-1 @ 1.39% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.65% Total : 80.92% | 1-1 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 3.09% 2-2 @ 2.84% Other @ 0.68% Total : 12.53% | 0-1 @ 2.12% 1-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 2.4% Total : 6.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |