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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Portimonense

Arouca
1 - 0
Portimonense

Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-0 Portimonense

Arouca have endured a horrid campaign this season and find themselves just one point above the drop zone with three games to play. However, we are tipping them to grind out a slender victory against a floundering Portimonense side who are yet to taste victory on the road this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawPortimonense
47.97%25.89%26.14%
Both teams to score 50.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6%53.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07%74.93%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73%22.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28%55.71%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 47.97%
    Portimonense 26.14%
    Draw 25.89%
AroucaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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