Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
44.91% (![]() | 26.15% (![]() | 28.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% (![]() | 52.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% (![]() | 74.41% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.58% (![]() | 23.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.58% (![]() | 57.42% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% (![]() | 32.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% (![]() | 69.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 12.43% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.57% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 22 | 43 | 65 |
3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |