Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
28.88% ( 0.12) | 26.96% ( 0.26) | 44.16% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.09% ( -0.94) | 55.9% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( -0.77) | 77.01% ( 0.77) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.4% ( -0.41) | 34.6% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% ( -0.43) | 71.32% ( 0.43) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.84% ( -0.61) | 25.16% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.84) | 59.88% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.34% Total : 44.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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