Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
We said: Chaves 2-1 Casa Pia
Having lost one of their last six matches, Chaves look set to continue their strong end to the season with a narrow victory over Casa Pia, who are on course to suffer a sixth defeat in nine outings.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.88% . A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.6%) . The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result Chaves Draw Casa Pia 34.53% ( 0.03) 25.59% ( 0.01) 39.88% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.03)
51.41% ( -0.04) 48.58% ( 0.04)
29.29% ( -0.03) 70.7% ( 0.03)
72.95% ( 0) 27.05% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.58% ( -0) 62.41% ( 0)
75.93% ( -0.04) 24.07% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.65% ( -0.05) 58.34% ( 0.05)
Chaves 34.53%
Casa Pia 39.88%
Draw 25.59%
Chaves Draw Casa Pia 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.53% 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.88%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 05:01:03
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