Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo3 - 1Pacos de Ferreira
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Maritimo
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Famalicao
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Maritimo 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Given the stakes of this game, we predict that Maritimo and Pacos de Ferreira will take a cautious approach in a bid to avoid dropping valuable points. We predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a point apiece. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
43.68% ( -0.26) | 27.16% ( 0.13) | 29.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
