Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 2
Braga

Juninho (42')
Mendes (45'), Euller (45+2'), Sarr (55'), Abass (80'), Singh (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
Borja (62'), Ruiz (79'), Castro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, March 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Braga will be looking to return to winning ways and keep their quest for an automatic Champions League spot alive, they face a resurgent Chaves side who have been solid in their last two outings. However, we are backing Jorge's men to take the positives from their draw against Porto and claim all three points here, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Braga
26.91% ( 0.73)	23.99% ( 0.13)	49.1% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

44.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

67.28% (

-0.01)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

0.56)

30.34% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

0.66)

66.53% (

-0.66)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.33)

18.39% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.47% (

-0.56)

49.53% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Chaves 26.91%

Braga 49.1%

Draw 23.98%

Chaves	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.91%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.1%