Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 0-2 Porto
Relegation-battling Chaves are desperate for points here but they lack the quality to hurt a side like Porto, who have dominated this fixture over the years. We expect the visitors to pick up a win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.46%) and 0-3 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
10.42% ( 0.13) | 16.84% ( 0.33) | 72.74% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( -1.21) | 39.9% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( -1.27) | 62.26% ( 1.27) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.56) | 46.56% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.85% ( -0.43) | 82.15% ( 0.43) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( -0.42) | 9.58% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.96% ( -0.99) | 32.04% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 10.42%
Porto 72.73%
Draw 16.84%
| Chaves | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.74% Total : 10.42% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.84% | 0-2 @ 12.26% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 9.59% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 5.63% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 4.3% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 2.64% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.08)0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.64% Total : 72.73% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Porto
Chaves
22.2%Draw
0.0%Porto
77.8%18
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8.30pm
Dec 8, 2022 7pm
Sep 10, 2022 8.30pm
