MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 01:11:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Porto

Casa Pia
1 - 2
Porto

Moreira (37')
Neto (58'), Zolotic (66'), Larrazabal (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Galeno (31'), Gonzalez (56')
Wendell (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto

 With the race for the European spots still wide open, Porto will know the importance of taking all three points here, as failing to do so could see them drop to fifth place by the end of this weekend. However, Os Dragoes picked up a morale-boosting win over Vitoria in midweek, and we feel they will follow up that result with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPorto
9.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 17.1% (0.032 0.03) 73.71% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.199 -0.2)44.94% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.189 -0.19)67.29% (0.194 0.19)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.59% (-0.166 -0.17)52.41% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.73% (-0.108 -0.11)86.27% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)10.66% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (-0.127 -0.13)34.52% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 9.19%
    Porto 73.69%
    Draw 17.1%
Casa PiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.19%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.1%
0-2 @ 13.99% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 12.5% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 5.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 73.69%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Porto

Casa Pia
5.3%
Draw
5.3%
Porto
89.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Porto
3-1
Casa Pia
Evanilson (12'), Pedro (49'), Pepe (81')
Evanilson (36'), Varela (39'), Sanchez (88')
Fernando (89' pen.)
Roberto (90+2')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 32
Porto
2-1
Casa Pia
Taremi (56'), Loader (90+3')
Evanilson (45+5' og.)
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
0-0
Porto
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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