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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 0
Porto

Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Porto

Given the stakes of this weekend's clash for both sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. However, Porto boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to extend their dominance over the Canarinhos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
19.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.02% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 58.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.052 0.05)44.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.051000000000002 0.05)66.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (0.004999999999999 0)73.69%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.037000000000006 0.04)14.83% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (0.064 0.06)43.14% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 19.31%
    Porto 58.66%
    Draw 22.02%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.31%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.66%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
13.8%
Draw
6.9%
Porto
79.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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