MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 09:45:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Portimonense

Chaves
2 - 3
Portimonense

Hernandez (25' pen.), Correia (76')
Carraca (14'), Essugo (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (72'), Cassama (83'), Formiga (90+1')
Martins (45+1'), Guzzo (68'), Ventura (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-0 Portimonense

Desperate for points, relegation-battling Chaves hold a slight home advantage against winless Portimonense. Despite Chaves' poor form, their home record against Portimonense is strong. We expect a close encounter but the hope side are likely to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawPortimonense
42% (0.45 0.45) 24.83% (-0.134 -0.13) 33.16% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.65% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (0.507 0.51)45.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.481 0.48)67.84% (-0.483 -0.48)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.42899999999999 0.43)21.67% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.656 0.66)54.81% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)26.4% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.065999999999995 0.07)61.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 42.01%
    Portimonense 33.16%
    Draw 24.83%
ChavesDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense

Chaves
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Portimonense
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
2-1
Chaves
Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')
Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Portimonense
1-0
Chaves
Estrela (19' pen.)
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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