MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 09:05:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Vizela

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Vizela

Luiz (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Samu (48')
Pereira (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Arouca
Thursday, December 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Vizela

While Vizela find themselves in the bottom half of the table after an underwhelming first half of the season, they have been solid away from home in recent weeks and we fancy them coming away with all three points against the hosts who have struggled for consistency. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawVizela
27.75% (-0.393 -0.39) 26.65% (-0.238 -0.24) 45.59% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 49.13% (0.43 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (0.679 0.68)55.32% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (0.552 0.55)76.54% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.049999999999997 0.05)35.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.052 0.05)71.93% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.605 0.61)24.2% (-0.608 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (0.851 0.85)58.54% (-0.85400000000001 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 27.75%
    Vizela 45.59%
    Draw 26.65%
Estrela AmadoraDrawVizela
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.05% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 45.59%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Vizela

Estrela Amadora
33.3%
Draw
23.1%
Vizela
43.6%
39
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
Fourth Round
Vizela
2-1
Estrela Amadora
Wilson (80')
Mendez (45+3'), Samu (85'), Unzueta (91'), Pereira (114'), Pereira (114')
Kikas (19')
Jaba (31'), Omorwa (73')
Jaba (85')
Jul 24, 2021 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Vizela
Cabrita Fernandes (15'), Rafael Pereira Araujo (89')
Neto (35'), Braima Jau (55'), Joaquim Goncalves Andrade Ponce de Leao (60'), Manuel Romano (73')
Cassiano (66')
Paulo (7'), Cassiano (49'), Gregorio Guzzo (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111


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