Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Braga |
25.35% ( -0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 51.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.62% ( 0.03) | 43.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.22% ( 0.03) | 65.78% ( -0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 0) | 30.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( 0) | 67% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% ( 0.02) | 16.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.92% ( 0.04) | 47.08% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 51.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |