Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Moreirense
Despite the full-time result, Estrela showed their mettle against a star-studded Sporting Lisbon side and will look to build on that result. However, they take on an in-form Moreirense side who have been defensively solid this season. That said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Moreirense |
28.67% ( -0.02) | 26.6% ( 0.01) | 44.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.88% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
