Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Moreirense

Despite the full-time result, Estrela showed their mettle against a star-studded Sporting Lisbon side and will look to build on that result. However, they take on an in-form Moreirense side who have been defensively solid this season. That said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Moreirense
28.67% ( -0.02)	26.6% ( 0.01)	44.73% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.88% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.37% (

-0.04)

54.63% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03% (

-0.03)

75.97% (

0.03)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-0.03)

34.09% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

-0.04)

70.78% (

0.04)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0.01)

24.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0.01)

58.7% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 28.68%

Moreirense 44.73%

Draw 26.59%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.68%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.73%