Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
48.57% | 25.89% | 25.53% |
Both teams to score 49.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% | 22.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% | 55.56% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.8% | 36.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.02% | 72.98% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.57% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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