We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Famalicao
Famalicao have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, picking up just one win from their last 10 games in all competitions. Sporting Lisbon, meanwhile, will be looking to put together another fine run of form having recently clinched the Taca da Liga title. We are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points and leave the visitors languishing at the wrong end of the table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.