Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
48.98% | 27.82% | 23.2% |
Both teams to score 42.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.83% | 62.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.13% | 81.86% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% | 25.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% | 60.52% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% | 43.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.65% | 79.35% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 15.02% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.99% Total : 48.97% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.92% 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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