Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Moreirense
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Moreirense 0-1 Casa Pia
Moreirense have struggled in attack, failing to find the net in five of their last nine matches across all competitions, which could make it difficult for them to take anything from this game. While the hosts may look to stay compact and grind out a result, their shaky defence could be exposed by Casa Pia's firepower, making an away win the likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Casa Pia |
39.22% ( 0.1) | 28.03% ( 0.01) | 32.75% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.34% ( -0.05) | 58.66% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% ( -0.04) | 79.21% ( 0.03) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.04) | 29.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.95% ( 0.04) | 65.05% ( -0.05) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.1) | 33.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.17% ( -0.11) | 69.83% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 39.21%
Casa Pia 32.75%
Draw 28.03%
| Moreirense | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.75% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Casa Pia
Moreirense
22.2%Draw
33.3%Casa Pia
44.4%9
Head to Head
Form Guide
