We said: Moreirense 0-1 SC Farense
Moreirense may be nine places above Farense in the table, but the visitors are in marginally better form ahead of this weekend's clash.
Marreco's side could edge a win on Sunday, but given that no team have scored fewer goals than them in the Primeira Liga this season, they will need to be solid defensively if they are to escape with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.