MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:25:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Moreirense

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Moreirense


Mukendi (29'), Roberto (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Franco (33')
Nlavo (61'), Camacho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-3 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Moreirense

Despite Casa Pia comfortably winning 4-1 in the reverse fixture earlier this season, Moreirense are the much superior side and with a return to form in recent games, we believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
33.05% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55) 27.67% (0.122 0.12) 39.28% (0.424 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.73% (-0.56 -0.56)57.27% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.89% (-0.448 -0.45)78.11% (0.44399999999999 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (-0.658 -0.66)32.3% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.752 -0.75)68.8% (0.747 0.75)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.41% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 33.05%
    Moreirense 39.27%
    Draw 27.67%
Casa PiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.18% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.54% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Casa Pia
50.0%
Draw
7.1%
Moreirense
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-4
Casa Pia
Aias (14')
Camacho (40'), Antonisse (90+5')
Soma (18'), Cardoso (26', 56'), Nunes (39')
Cardoso (35'), Segovia (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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