Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
11.69% (![]() | 19.37% (![]() | 68.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% (![]() | 47.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% (![]() | 69.95% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.68% (![]() | 49.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.82% (![]() | 84.18% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% (![]() | 12.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.97% (![]() | 39.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 11.69% | 1-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.37% | 0-2 @ 13.33% (![]() 0-1 @ 12.95% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 68.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |