Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (13.01%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (4.43%).
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
11.57% ( -1.85) | 19.33% ( -1.47) | 69.1% ( 3.32) |
Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% ( 1.83) | 47.86% ( -1.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.96% ( 1.66) | 70.05% ( -1.66) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.42% ( -1.95) | 49.58% ( 1.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.64% ( -1.4) | 84.36% ( 1.41) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.26% ( 1.56) | 12.75% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% ( 3.11) | 39% ( -3.11) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.38% Total : 11.57% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.69) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.33% | 0-2 @ 13.4% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 9.21% ( 0.86) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 4.74% ( 0.68) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.95% ( 0.37) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 69.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |