Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 2Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Moreirense 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
The visitors have found it tough on recent trips to Moreirense, winning just once in their last five visits, but their current form suggests they can take at least a point, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
21.48% ( -0.07) | 24.9% ( -0.06) | 53.62% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( 0.15) | 53.55% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( 0.12) | 75.06% ( -0.12) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.01) | 39.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.49% ( 0.01) | 76.51% ( -0.01) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( 0.11) | 19.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.91% ( 0.17) | 52.09% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 21.48%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.62%
Draw 24.89%
| Moreirense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.48% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.33% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.62% |
How you voted: Moreirense vs Guimaraes
Moreirense
0.0%Draw
14.3%Vitoria de Guimaraes
85.7%7
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 6pm
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Form Guide
