MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:04:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense

With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
50.95% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.61% (0.026 0.03) 23.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)75.74% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)54.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.14% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.94%
    Moreirense 23.45%
    Draw 25.61%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
Jan 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Moreirense
2-2
Guimaraes
Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')
Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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