Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 24, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto1 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Braga
Sunday, February 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Porto 1-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Although Porto have not been at their best lately, their dominance in this fixture and formidable record at the Dragao in the top flight suggest they will grind out a hard-fought win against the visitors, who have struggled on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
48.62% ( -0.95) | 25.31% ( 0.53) | 26.07% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
