Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Embalo (79')
Mendes (22'), Villanueva (35'), Baifas Felix (36'), Mendes (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kraev (27'), Svensson Rio (52'), Tchamba (60'), Pedro Goulart Silva (73'), Sequeira (79'), Fonte (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Guimaraes
Monday, February 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, February 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Casa Pia

Although Casa Pia have enjoyed success on their visits to Vitoria, extending that flawless record could prove challenging this weekend, given the hosts' resilience in recent outings. However, the home side's difficulty in turning draws into victories may persist, with their improved defence and struggles in the final third pointing towards a low-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 11.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.98%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (4.6%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
69.06% ( 0.27)	19.72% ( -0.05)	11.22% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 41.74% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.69% (

-0.34)

50.31% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.3)

72.25% (

0.3)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

-0.02)

13.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.48% (

-0.05)

40.52% (

0.05)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.25% (

-0.6)

51.75% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.16% (

-0.4)

85.84% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 69.05%

Casa Pia 11.22%

Draw 19.72%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 14% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 69.05%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.72%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 11.22%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

Vitoria de Guimaraes

12.5%

Draw

62.5%

Casa Pia

25.0%

Head to Head

Sep 28, 2024 6pm

Gameweek 7

Casa Pia

1-1

Guimaraes

Cassiano (39' pen.)
Pedro Goulart Silva (45'), Zolotic (51')

Pedro Goulart Silva (49' og.)
Manuel Gomes Borges (55')

> Preview

Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm

Gameweek 23

Guimaraes

0-2

Casa Pia

Andre (51')

Clayton (4'), Roberto (35')
Tchamba (49'), Neto (62'), Clayton (71')

> Preview

Sep 23, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 6

Casa Pia

0-0

Guimaraes

Larrazabal (57'), Fernandes (80'), Serobyan (90+4')

Mendes (36'), Silva (63')

> Preview

Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 21

Casa Pia

0-0

Guimaraes

> Preview

Aug 29, 2022 7pm

Gameweek 4

Guimaraes

0-1

Casa Pia

Lameiras (41'), Varela (59'), Andre (86')

Kunimoto (7')
Zolotic (25'), Batista (55'), Brice Eteki (68')

> Preview

Form Guide

Porto 1-1 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 0-0 Braga

Famalicao 0-0 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 2-0 AVS

Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes

Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca

Casa Pia 1-0 Gil Vicente

Moreirense 3-2 Casa Pia

Casa Pia 1-0 Estrela Amadora

Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia 3-1 Benfica

Boavista 2-3 Casa Pia

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Transfer Talk

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Casa Pia