Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
We said: Moreirense 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will be looking to strengthen their position in the upper echelons of the table. However, Moreirense have also put together a fine run of form in the league of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.91% . A win for Moreirense had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.26%) . The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood .
Result Moreirense Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.81% ( -0.06) 26.28% ( 0.01) 36.91% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.05)
48.62% ( -0.06) 51.38% ( 0.06)
26.8% ( -0.05) 73.2% ( 0.05)
72.97% ( -0.07) 27.03% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.6% ( -0.09) 62.4% ( 0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
73.03% ( -0) 26.97% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.69% 62.31% ( -0)
Moreirense 36.81%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.91%
Draw 26.27%
Moreirense Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.81% 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.91%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-03 09:55:49
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