Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.