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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estrela Amadora

Moreirense
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Tavares (78')
Teguia (62'), de Brito Gonzaga (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kikas (55')
Martins Travassos (36'), Kikas (41'), Ruiz (45'), Liliano Saches Sousa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 1-0 Estrela Amadora

Estrela have picked up four points from the last six available and will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Moreirense side who have struggled to get going of late. However, home advantage gives Peixoto's side an added edge here and we are backing them to come out on top, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstrela Amadora
44.88% (-0.126 -0.13) 28.09% (0.1 0.1) 27.03% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.245 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.318 -0.32)60.76% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.24 -0.24)80.82% (0.241 0.24)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-0.214 -0.21)27.02% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-0.282 -0.28)62.38% (0.282 0.28)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.154 -0.15)38.76% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (-0.148 -0.15)75.49% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 44.88%
    Estrela Amadora 27.03%
    Draw 28.08%
MoreirenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.077 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.03%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Moreirense
Bucca (2'), Kikas (20')
Bucca (46'), Cissokho (57'), Varela (57')
Ramos (83')
Silva (69'), Nlavo (73'), Miguel Costa Santos (86')
Peixoto (47')
Apr 7, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
2-2
Estrela Amadora
Castro (26'), Brigido (43' og.)
Mingotti (70'), Franco (79'), de Brito Gonzaga (90')
Luiz (54'), Kikas (83')
Mansur (41'), Vieira (42'), Gaspar (44')
Mansur (89')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Moreirense

Cordeiro (40'), Reis (56'), Gaspar (90+6')
Vieira (12')
Luis (90')
Madson (11'), Luis (51'), Alan (54'), de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Marcelo (76'), Ofori (81')
Wallisson (90+2')
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Moreirense
4-2
Estrela Amadora
Franco (32' pen.), Pacheco (45'), Alan (69'), Kodisang (83')
Salomao (26'), N'do (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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