Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Moreirense 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Estrela have picked up four points from the last six available and will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Moreirense side who have struggled to get going of late. However, home advantage gives Peixoto's side an added edge here and we are backing them to come out on top, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
44.88% ( -0.13) | 28.09% ( 0.1) | 27.03% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.32) | 60.76% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.24) | 80.82% ( 0.24) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.21) | 27.02% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.62% ( -0.28) | 62.38% ( 0.28) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.15) | 38.76% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.5% ( -0.15) | 75.49% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Moreirense 44.88%
Estrela Amadora 27.03%
Draw 28.08%
| Moreirense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.03% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
