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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Santa Clara

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Antunes (54' pen.)
Peixoto (36'), Pires (45+2'), Gaitan (59'), Marafona (65'), Thomas (73'), de Brito Gonzaga (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amorim (35'), Jordao (52'), Henrique (62'), MT (64'), Bobsin (71'), Allano (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, March 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Santa Clara

With just three points separating Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara at the bottom of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of a crucial victory. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawSanta Clara
40.44% (0.288 0.29) 27.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 31.76% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.291 -0.29)58.04% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.231 -0.23)78.72% (0.229 0.23)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.022999999999996 0.02)28.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)33.6% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-0.438 -0.44)70.25% (0.43599999999999 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 40.43%
    Santa Clara 31.75%
    Draw 27.8%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.43%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.3%
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.75%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Santa Clara

Pacos de Ferreira
58.1%
Draw
32.3%
Santa Clara
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
May 8, 2022 8.30pm
Santa Clara
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Lincoln (9'), Antonio (67')
Antonio (60'), Sagna (76'), Morita (90+5')

Bastos (11'), Lima (53'), Uilton (78')
Vekic (5')
Dec 30, 2021 5pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-1
Santa Clara
Denilson (69', 82')
Baixinho (39'), Bastos (45+2'), Carlos (62'), Silva (76')
Morita (41')
Crysan (44'), Ramos (60')
Ramos (90')
Feb 27, 2021 6pm
Oct 18, 2020 3pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-1
Santa Clara
Reabciuk (35'), Tanque (72')
Reabciuk (67'), Diaby-Fadiga (83')
Thiago (69')
Cardoso (50'), Thiago (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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