Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
55.18% (![]() | 25.31% (![]() | 19.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% (![]() | 57.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% (![]() | 78% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% (![]() | 20.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% (![]() | 53.36% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.97% (![]() | 44.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.86% (![]() | 80.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.36% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.29% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.16% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |