Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
59.84% | 23.75% | 16.41% |
Both teams to score 43.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.37% | 55.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% | 76.79% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.65% | 18.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.53% | 49.47% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.06% | 46.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.56% | 82.44% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 14.6% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.29% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.52% 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-2 @ 2.46% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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