Portimonense2 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
We said: Portimonense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points. Portimonense are winless in each of their last eight games against the visitors and we predict this trend will continue with Amorim's side claiming all three points once again.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense has a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 11.09% and the second most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 10.9%.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 16.72% | 21.23% | 62.04% |
| Both teams to score 51.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% | 40.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.07% | 76.92% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.46% | 41.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-1 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.72% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 1% Total : 21.23% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.95% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.03% |
