Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense has a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 11.09% and the second most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 10.9%.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.72% | 21.23% | 62.04% |
Both teams to score 51.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% | 45.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.47% | 67.53% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.7% | 40.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.07% | 76.92% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% | 14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% | 41.53% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.13% 2-1 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.72% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 1% Total : 21.23% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 0-2 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.95% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.75% Total : 62.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |