Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.