Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 8, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
Belenenses

Martinez (19'), Diaz (65')
Oliveira (26'), Diaz (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Boni (36'), Calila (47'), Teixeira (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Belenenses
61.38%	22.11%	16.5%

Both teams to score 48.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74%

49.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68%

71.32%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44%

15.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5%

44.5%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.97%

43.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.69%

79.31%

Score Analysis

Porto 61.38%

Belenenses 16.5%

Draw 22.11%

Porto	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.45% 2-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.13% Total : 61.38%	1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.5%