Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira1 - 0Belenenses
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Belenenses |
| 41.08% | 28.53% | 30.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
