Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 49.18%. A win for Porto had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.