Porto

2 - 1

Pacos de Ferreira

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.