Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.18%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
72.74% | 18.12% | 9.14% |
Both teams to score 39.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% | 49.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% | 71.45% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% | 12.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.22% | 37.78% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.63% | 55.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.9% | 88.1% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 14.94% 1-0 @ 14.18% 3-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 6.21% 4-0 @ 5.53% 4-1 @ 3.27% 5-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.76% Total : 72.72% | 1-1 @ 8.39% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 2.61% Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.12% | 0-1 @ 3.98% 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |