Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
28.75% | 28.66% | 42.59% |
Both teams to score 44.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.1% | 61.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.34% | 81.66% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% | 37.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% | 74.73% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.21% | 28.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% | 64.64% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.66% Total : 28.75% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-3 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.58% Total : 42.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |