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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Farense logo

Porto
2 - 1
Farense

Galeno (48' pen.), Omorodion (75')
Galeno (89'), Neto (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tomane (51')
Jorge (45+1'), Silva (82'), Gonzalez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Porto
Saturday, August 31 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

SC Farense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Farense
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 SC Farense

 Porto are resounding favourites to beat statistically one of the worst sides in the division in 2024, as they look to bounce back from losing to Sporting before the international break. A side that have let in 10 goals from four games stands little chance at the Dragao, and we are backing the 30-time champions to record a comfortable victory and extend their eight-match winning streak over this weekend's opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.82%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSC Farense
83.82% (-0.315 -0.31) 11.05% (0.158 0.16) 5.14% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 43.4% (0.532 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.47% (0.01100000000001 0.01)31.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.99% (0.012 0.01)53.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)5.41% (0.0561 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.8% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)21.2% (0.164 0.16)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.88% (0.59 0.59)54.12% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.65% (0.359 0.36)87.35% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Porto 83.81%
    SC Farense 5.14%
    Draw 11.05%
PortoDrawSC Farense
2-0 @ 12.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 12.11% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 8.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.44% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 5.15% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
5-1 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 2.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.034 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 83.81%
1-1 @ 5.25% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 2.35% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 11.05%
0-1 @ 1.8% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.61% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 5.14%

How you voted: Porto vs Farense

Porto
88.9%
Draw
8.3%
SC Farense
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 19
Farense
1-3
Porto
Duarte (59' pen.)
Silva (25')
Evanilson (35', 76'), Varela (41')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Porto
2-1
Farense
Martinez (13'), Marcano (90+10')
Pepe (45+5'), Marcano (90+2')
Costa (45+1')
Falcao (61'), Pastor (74'), Matias (78')
> Preview
May 10, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Porto
5-1
Farense
Taremi (6' pen., 59'), Martinez (14'), Diaz (20'), Mario Neto Lopes (84')
Mbemba (13'), Grujic (25'), Leite (72'), Mario Neto Lopes (81')
Lica (89')
Scheid (1'), Tavares (6'), Lucca (6'), Cesar (82')
Aouacheria (30')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Farense
0-1
Porto

Nunes (89')
Taremi (15')
Otavio (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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