Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense1 - 2Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Farense
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, August 2 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Moreirense
Saturday, August 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
We said: SC Farense 1-1 Moreirense
Moreirense won this fixture home and away last season, but Farense have had a solid pre-season and are arguably slightly more settled given that the visitors have a new manager at the helm. Both these sides would love the win here but will also want to avoid an opening-match defeat, and we feel they will be fairly content to share the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Moreirense |
40.15% ( -0.48) | 27.11% ( -0.22) | 32.74% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
