Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga0 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, May 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 2-2 Porto
In what is a season-defining fixture, we expect Braga and Porto to go all out in search of the win as they look to secure a top-three finish. However, we predict that both sides will cancel each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
36.45% ( -0.36) | 24.91% ( 0.17) | 38.64% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.82) | 45.26% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.8) | 67.6% ( 0.8) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.57) | 24.38% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.21% ( -0.81) | 58.79% ( 0.81) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.27) | 23.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.4) | 57.12% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 36.45%
Porto 38.64%
Draw 24.9%
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.64% |
How you voted: Braga vs Porto
Braga
31.8%Draw
27.3%Porto
40.9%44
