Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
21.59% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( 0) | 53.48% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.44% ( -0) | 53.56% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.93% ( -0) | 75.07% ( 0) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( 0) | 39.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% ( 0) | 76.41% ( -0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( -0) | 20% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% ( -0.01) | 52.19% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.59% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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