Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
50.61% ( 0.99) | 24.71% ( -0.3) | 24.68% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 52.41% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.21% ( 0.68) | 49.78% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.21% ( 0.61) | 71.79% ( -0.6) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( 0.68) | 19.68% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( 1.09) | 51.66% ( -1.08) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( -0.21) | 34.75% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( -0.23) | 71.48% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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