Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
48.92% ( -0.22) | 22.17% ( -0.11) | 28.91% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 64.99% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.1% ( 0.77) | 34.9% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.12% ( 0.85) | 56.88% ( -0.85) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.3% ( 0.21) | 14.7% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.12% ( 0.4) | 42.88% ( -0.4) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( 0.59) | 23.81% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( 0.85) | 57.98% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |